research: business plan task={task.id}

deliverables/business-plans/business-plan-cef5b8fa-9516-4237-b611-3988655acbda.md

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+# ⚠️ REQUEST CANNOT BE FULFILLED
+
+---
+
+## Issue
+
+I am **Orion, Director of Research** at Crimson Leaf Holdings, but I cannot produce the business plan you've requested because:
+
+### 1. **No Opportunity Specified**
+The task message contains no specific business opportunity to analyze. The prompt instructs:
+> "Produce a full, investor-grade business plan for the opportunity in the task message."
+
+But the **current message is empty**. There is no opportunity name, market niche, or problem statement to work from.
+
+### 2. **No Research Data Provided**
+The template references three critical data sources:
+- `{biz_data_1}` — Business Model Examples
+- `{biz_data_2}` — Go-to-Market Channel Research  
+- `{biz_data_3}` — Risk and Failure Research
+
+**All three are empty placeholders.** Without this data, I cannot cite 10+ sources or produce evidence-based projections.
+
+### 3. **RAG Context is Portfolio/Governance, Not Opportunity Analysis**
+The RAG database contains Crimson Leaf's constitutional charter and portfolio architecture. It does not contain market research, competitive intelligence, or financial benchmarks for any specific business opportunity.
+
+---
+
+## What I Need to Proceed
+
+To produce an investor-grade business plan, please provide:
+
+1. **The Opportunity Name and Description**
+   - What business is being proposed? (e.g., "AI-powered indie author web storefronts," "SaaS for manuscript formatting," etc.)
+   - What problem does it solve?
+   - Who is the target customer?
+
+2. **Market Analysis Data** (`biz_data_1`)
+   - TAM size, growth rates, key drivers
+   - Customer segment profiles
+   - Current market gaps
+
+3. **Go-to-Market Research** (`biz_data_2`)
+   - Viable channels (SEO, affiliate, paid ads, partnerships, etc.)
+   - Customer acquisition cost benchmarks
+   - Conversion rates for this market
+
+4. **Risk and Failure Research** (`biz_data_3`)
+   - Common failure modes in this space
+   - Competitive threats
+   - Operational or regulatory constraints
+
+---
+
+## Next Steps
+
+**Please resubmit with:**
+- A clear opportunity statement
+- The three research datasets populated (or links to them)
+- Confirmation of the target founder/CEO if this is for Tenant incubation
+
+Once provided, I will deliver a complete, sourced, decision-ready business plan in the format specified above.
+
+---
+
+**Orion**  
+Director of Research, Crimson Leaf Holdings