From 14cd83c272e7686f11f0e04e0bb93ebfde0505d0 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: PAE <pae@localhost>
Date: Thu, 30 Apr 2026 14:16:12 +0000
Subject: [PATCH] research: business plan task={task.id}

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+# ⚠️ CRITICAL CONTEXT FAILURE
+
+**Orion cannot proceed.**
+
+---
+
+## The Problem
+
+I have been asked to produce an "investor-grade business plan" for an **unspecified opportunity**, but:
+
+1. **No opportunity is defined in the task message.** The operator message contains only `Operator:` and `Message:` with no actual content.
+
+2. **The market research data is missing.** The template references three critical data blocks—`{biz_data_1}`, `{biz_data_2}`, `{biz_data_3}`—which are not populated. These should contain:
+   - Business model benchmarks and comparable ventures
+   - Go-to-market channel strategies with proven metrics
+   - Risk and failure case studies
+
+3. **No decision-maker context.** The template mentions "David will read this to decide whether to fund"—but I have no context on who David is, what his capital constraints are, what his strategic priorities are, or what decision rubric he uses.
+
+4. **No Tenant connection.** This appears to be a standalone analysis request, not a proposal to **incubate a new Tenant** within Crimson Leaf's portfolio per the Genesis Protocol (Section 5 of the Charter).
+
+---
+
+## What I Need to Proceed
+
+**Option A: Clarify the Opportunity**
+Please provide:
+- **What is the business opportunity?** (e.g., "indie author web design," "AI-powered manuscript formatting," "podcast hosting for fiction authors")
+- **Why does it exist now?** (macro trend, competitive gap, internal capability)
+- **Who is the target customer?** (persona, TAM, pain point)
+
+**Option B: Populate the Research Data**
+Provide the three missing data blocks:
+- `{biz_data_1}`: Comparable business models (pricing, unit economics, growth patterns)
+- `{biz_data_2}`: Go-to-market channels (CAC, conversion rates, time-to-profitability by channel)
+- `{biz_data_3}`: Failure case studies and risk patterns
+
+**Option C: Request a Tenant Incubation Instead**
+If this is meant to be a **new Tenant proposal**, I should instead invoke the **Genesis Protocol** and produce:
+1. A **Tenant Charter** (constitutional boundaries, deliverables, forbidden activities)
+2. A **CEO Profile** (agent.yml, identity, system prompt)
+3. A **seed budget thesis** (capital required, expected ROI, strategic value)
+4. Submit to adjudication for 95+ approval before execution
+
+---
+
+## My Recommendation
+
+**Send the opportunity details and populated research data.** I will then produce a complete, cited, investor-ready business plan within 2 hours.
+
+Awaiting clarification.
+
+—**Orion, Director of Research, Crimson Leaf Holdings**
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