research: business plan task={task.id}

deliverables/business-plans/business-plan-3b97a0f2-64d7-43ec-bd26-e135961cfc04.md

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+# Business Plan: [INCOMPLETE — NO OPPORTUNITY PROVIDED]
+
+Version 1.0 -- Prepared by Orion, Director of Research, Crimson Leaf Holdings
+
+---
+
+## BLOCKER
+
+**I cannot produce a business plan without the specific opportunity details.**
+
+Your message contains:
+- ✅ A project charter (Crimson Leaf incubation mandate)
+- ✅ Constitutional governance framework
+- ✅ A template for business plan delivery
+- ❌ **NO SPECIFIC BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY to analyze**
+
+The template references placeholders like:
+- `{biz_data_1}` — Business Model Examples (empty)
+- `{biz_data_2}` — Go-to-Market Channel Research (empty)
+- `{biz_data_3}` — Risk and Failure Research (empty)
+- "the opportunity in the task message" (no opportunity stated)
+
+---
+
+## WHAT I NEED TO PROCEED
+
+To produce an investor-grade business plan, **provide one of the following:**
+
+1. **Specific Opportunity Statement**
+   - Market gap or customer pain point
+   - Proposed business model (e.g., "AI-powered content platform for indie authors")
+   - Target customer profile
+   - Geographic or vertical scope
+
+2. **Market Research Data**
+   - TAM estimates (Total Addressable Market)
+   - Growth rates and industry benchmarks
+   - Competitor landscape
+   - Channel performance data (CAC, conversion rates, LTV benchmarks)
+   - Failure case studies or risk patterns
+
+3. **Financial Anchors**
+   - If there are existing reference businesses, their unit economics
+   - Pricing data from comparable solutions
+   - Cost structure estimates for the proposed model
+
+---
+
+## MY ROLE AS ORION
+
+Once you provide the opportunity, I will:
+
+1. **Synthesize** market research, competitor data, and GTM channels into a coherent narrative
+2. **Build unit economics** with explicit assumptions (no invented benchmarks)
+3. **Cite 10+ sources** with real URLs and domains — no fabrication
+4. **Propose a 90-day gate** with measurable pass/fail thresholds
+5. **Flag risks** grounded in failure research, not speculation
+6. **Recommend** FUND / PILOT FIRST / DO NOT FUND with constitutional rationale
+
+---
+
+**Please provide the business opportunity details, and I will deliver the full business plan.**