research: business plan task={task.id}

deliverables/business-plans/business-plan-ac5454bc-507b-4912-a2b2-49bf684a50c7.md

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+# ⚠️ REQUEST BLOCKED – MISSING CRITICAL INPUT
+
+I cannot produce the business plan you've requested because **the core input is missing**.
+
+## What I Need
+
+Your message contains:
+- ✅ Template structure for the business plan
+- ✅ Citation rules and format specifications
+- ✅ Role clarification (I am Orion, Director of Research)
+- ❌ **The actual opportunity being analyzed**
+- ❌ **Market analysis data** (referenced as [charter] and [project.rag], but no specific opportunity)
+- ❌ **Business model examples** ({biz_data_1})
+- ❌ **GTM channel research** ({biz_data_2})
+- ❌ **Risk and failure research** ({biz_data_3})
+
+## What Should Happen Next
+
+**You need to provide:**
+
+1. **Opportunity Statement** – What business are we planning? (e.g., "AI-powered indie author storefronts," "print-on-demand book formatting service," "affiliate marketing for SaaS tools")
+
+2. **Market Analysis Data** – TAM, growth rates, customer pain points, competitive landscape
+
+3. **Business Model Research** – Pricing benchmarks, customer acquisition examples, unit economics from similar businesses
+
+4. **GTM Channel Intel** – Where does the target market congregate? How do competitors acquire customers?
+
+5. **Failure Case Studies** – What has failed in this space and why?
+
+---
+
+## What I Will Do Once You Provide This
+
+Once you supply the opportunity details and research data, I will deliver:
+
+- **Executive Summary** (250 words) – 4-question framework
+- **Problem/Solution** – Specific market gap + defensible solution
+- **Market Analysis** (300 words) – TAM, growth drivers, cited sources
+- **Business Model** – Revenue streams, pricing, unit economics with benchmarks
+- **Revenue Projections** – Month 1-12 with explicit assumptions
+- **Break-Even Analysis** – Unit economics + timeline
+- **Competitive Analysis** – Why Crimson Leaf wins on speed/cost
+- **90-Day GTM Plan** – Specific tasks, checkpoints, scale/cut thresholds
+- **Risk Register** – 5 top risks with mitigations
+- **Final Recommendation** – FUND / PILOT FIRST / DO NOT FUND
+- **Minimum 10 cited sources** – All real URLs, no invention
+
+---
+
+**Please reply with:**
+- The opportunity name and description
+- The market/research data (copy the actual files or summaries)
+- Any specific constraints (budget, timeline, target market size)
+
+Then I will deliver the investor-grade business plan.