research: business plan task={task.id}

deliverables/business-plans/business-plan-9bf968f7-ccbe-4c9c-b746-e60919b9afed.md

@@ -0,0 +1,50 @@
+# ⚠️ REQUEST CANNOT BE FULFILLED
+
+## Issue: Missing Critical Input
+
+Orion cannot produce a business plan without the **opportunity specification** from the task message.
+
+Your message contains:
+
+✅ Charter context (Crimson Leaf governance)  
+✅ Format requirements (structure, citation rules, decision gate)  
+✅ Role assignment (Orion, Director of Research)  
+❌ **NO OPPORTUNITY DETAILS**  
+❌ **NO MARKET DATA PLACEHOLDERS FILLED** ({biz_data_1}, {biz_data_2}, {biz_data_3} are empty)
+
+---
+
+## What Orion Needs to Proceed
+
+Please provide:
+
+1. **Opportunity Name & Description**
+   - What business/market are we analyzing?
+   - Who is the target customer?
+   - What problem does it solve?
+
+2. **Market Research Data** (fill the three sections):
+   - `{biz_data_1}`: Business model examples from the space
+   - `{biz_data_2}`: Go-to-market channel research + benchmarks
+   - `{biz_data_3}`: Risk/failure case studies
+
+3. **Preliminary Assumptions** (optional but helpful):
+   - Rough TAM estimate or market segment
+   - Pricing strategy direction (SaaS, affiliate, one-time, etc.)
+   - Timeline constraints or strategic drivers
+
+---
+
+## Next Steps
+
+**Reply with:**
+```
+OPPORTUNITY: [Name]
+DESCRIPTION: [1-2 paragraph summary]
+TARGET MARKET: [Customer segment + size estimate]
+BUSINESS MODEL: [Initial direction -- e.g., "affiliate + content" or "SaaS subscription"]
+
+[Insert or paste {biz_data_1}, {biz_data_2}, {biz_data_3} here]
+```
+
+Once provided, Orion will produce a **full, investor-grade business plan** with 10+ cited sources, explicit assumptions, and a clear FUND/PILOT/DO NOT FUND recommendation.