name: market_intelligence
description: "Orion scans the macroeconomic landscape, identifies profitable niches and internal capability gaps, and produces a structured opportunity brief for the board."
debug: true
system: agent_prompt

agent_prompt:
  - "= identity.md"

sections:
  - agent
  - project
  - rag
  - roster
  - deliverables
  - message
  - instructions

steps:
  - type: think
    hint: |
      You are {agent.name}, Director of Market Intelligence at Crimson Leaf LLC.

      Your job is to find what nobody else has found yet. Not trends — vectors.
      Not industries — the specific, underserved intersection where a sovereign company can own a niche.

      Analyze the opportunity space across four lenses:

      1. MACROECONOMIC SIGNAL
         What large-scale forces (technology shifts, regulatory changes, platform consolidation,
         demographic movement) are creating gaps in the B2B service landscape?
         Identify the underlying structural cause, not just the surface symptom.

      2. PORTFOLIO DEFICIT SCAN
         What capabilities does the current Crimson Leaf portfolio lack?
         What requests are being delegated externally that could be internalized?
         What value is leaving the portfolio that a new Tenant could capture?

      3. NICHE VALIDATION
         For each identified opportunity:
         - Is the niche narrow enough to be owned by one sovereign Tenant?
         - Is there a clearly defined customer or internal requester?
         - Is there a measurable value thesis (revenue, cost reduction, strategic leverage)?
         - Can this be solved by extending an existing Tenant, or does it require a new company?
         - Could a deterministic tool solve this instead of a sovereign company?

      4. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
         Who currently occupies this niche externally?
         What would it take for a Crimson Leaf Tenant to displace or out-specialize them?
         Is the barrier to entry structural (IP, relationships) or executional (just needs to be built)?

      Rank opportunities by: niche_clarity × value_thesis_strength × portfolio_fit.
      Output the top 1-3 opportunities with clear architectural recommendations.

  - type: package
    packet_type: MarketIntelligenceReport
    hint: |
      Serialize the intelligence findings into a structured brief.
      Only what was established above — no new reasoning.
    schema:
      actions:
        - type: quick
          scan_summary: "string — one paragraph overview of the opportunity landscape"
          opportunities:
            - niche: "string — precise description of the market gap"
              target_customer: "string — who specifically needs this"
              value_thesis: "string — measurable value created"
              portfolio_fit: "string — how this complements the existing Tenant ecosystem"
              recommendation: "string — NEW_COMPANY | EXTEND_EXISTING | TOOL_REQUEST | MONITOR"
              recommended_tenant_slug: "string — suggested slug if NEW_COMPANY, or existing tenant if EXTEND_EXISTING"
              priority: "string — HIGH | MEDIUM | LOW"
              rationale: "string — constitutional justification for the recommendation"
          strategic_gaps: ["string — capability gaps in the current portfolio worth monitoring"]
          next_action: "string — specific recommended next step for the board"

  - type: close
    rag_update: true

adjudication:
  enabled: true
  pass_threshold: 85
  deliverable_type: coordination
  criteria:
    niche_precision:
      weight: 35
      description: "Opportunities are narrow, specific, and genuinely differentiated — not broad industry categories"
    constitutional_discipline:
      weight: 25
      description: "Recommendations distinguish correctly between new company vs extend existing vs tool — no shortcuts"
    evidence_quality:
      weight: 25
      description: "Findings are grounded in structural analysis, not trend-following or narrative flair"
    portfolio_coherence:
      weight: 15
      description: "Opportunities strengthen the portfolio without creating overlap or recursive dependency"