name: market_intelligence
description: "Orion researches a specific market opportunity with web search and produces a structured analysis document committed to Gitea. Spawned by opportunity_scan."
debug: true
model: power
system: agent_prompt

agent_prompt:
  - "= identity.md"

sections:
  - agent
  - project
  - rag
  - message
  - instructions

steps:
  - type: think
    max_tokens: 200
    output_key: search_query_1
    hint: |
      The market opportunity to research is described in the task message above.

      Formulate ONE precise web search query to find:
      - Market size and growth rate for this niche
      - Who the key players are and what they offer

      Output ONLY the search query. Nothing else.

  - type: tool
    capability: Tool_WebSearcher
    input_from: search_query_1
    mode: research
    max_results: 6
    fetch_pages: 3
    optional: true
    output_key: market_data_1

  - type: think
    max_tokens: 200
    output_key: search_query_2
    hint: |
      Your first search covered market size and key players.
      Now formulate ONE focused query to find:
      - Successful products in this niche, what they charge, who buys them
      - Consumer pain points or unmet needs documented online

      Output ONLY the search query. Nothing else.

  - type: tool
    capability: Tool_WebSearcher
    input_from: search_query_2
    mode: research
    max_results: 5
    fetch_pages: 2
    optional: true
    output_key: market_data_2

  - type: think
    max_tokens: 6000
    output_key: market_analysis_body
    hint: |
      You are Orion, Director of Research at Crimson Leaf Holdings.
      Produce a structured market analysis document for the opportunity in the task message.

      === PRIMARY RESEARCH (market size / players) ===
      {market_data_1}
      === END PRIMARY RESEARCH ===

      === SECONDARY RESEARCH (products / gaps / pricing) ===
      {market_data_2}
      === END SECONDARY RESEARCH ===

      Cite every data point with [Title](URL) inline.
      If research is empty, note it and use structural analysis -- do NOT invent statistics.

      Structure the document exactly as follows:

      # Market Analysis: [opportunity name from task message]

      ---

      ## 1. Market Overview
      - Total Addressable Market: [size, growth rate, source]
      - Key drivers: [2-3 forces growing this market]
      - Key risks: [2-3 risks or headwinds]

      ## 2. Target Audience
      - Primary buyer: [specific demographic or job role]
      - Buyer behavior: [how they discover and purchase in this niche]
      - Pain points: [what they cannot get today]

      ## 3. Competitive Landscape
      [Top 3-5 players: name | product | price | audience | strengths | weaknesses]
      - White space: [what none of them do well that CL could own]

      ## 4. Crimson Leaf Positioning
      - Recommended entry point: [specific niche within the broader market]
      - Differentiation: [how CL would be distinct from existing players]
      - Time-to-market: [realistic estimate given current CL capabilities]

      ## 5. Revenue Potential
      - Conservative (12-month): [number with assumptions]
      - Base case (12-month): [number with assumptions]
      - Optimistic (12-month): [number with assumptions]

      ## 6. Recommendation
      PROCEED / INVESTIGATE FURTHER / PASS

      Rationale: [2-3 sentences backing the recommendation with data from above]

      ---

      ## Sources
      [List all cited URLs with titles]

  - type: document
    source_step: market_analysis_body
    dest_path: "deliverables/market-analysis/market-analysis-{task.id}.md"
    commit_msg: "research: market analysis task={task.id}"

  - type: close
    rag_update: true

  - type: reply
    target: channel
    channel_name: "crimson_leaf:live-feed"
    hint: |
      Write a 2-3 line summary of the market analysis just completed.
      Include: topic researched, recommendation (PROCEED/INVESTIGATE FURTHER/PASS),
      and one key data point with citation.
      Example: "Market analysis complete: [topic] -- PROCEED. [Key finding with [Title](URL)]."

adjudication:
  enabled: true
  pass_threshold: 70
  deliverable_type: analysis
  criteria:
    depth:
      weight: 40
      description: "All 6 sections covered with specific data points -- no empty sections"
    accuracy:
      weight: 35
      description: "Claims backed by research citations or clearly labeled as estimates -- no invented statistics"
    actionability:
      weight: 25
      description: "Recommendation (PROCEED/INVESTIGATE FURTHER/PASS) is specific and grounded in the analysis"