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crimson_leaf/deliverables/business-plans/business-plan-51c47cc0-92a9-4f33-8919-fdc7e9aff7e2.md
2026-04-30 10:38:55 +00:00

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# HALT — CONTEXT MISSING
Orion cannot produce an investor-grade business plan without the **core deliverable**: the **task message describing the specific opportunity**.
The prompt you've sent contains:
**Structural guidance** — format, citation rules, decision gates
**Context frameworks** — Crimson Leaf's charter, portfolio state, governance model
**Research placeholders**`{biz_data_1}`, `{biz_data_2}`, `{biz_data_3}` (unfilled)
**The actual opportunity** — no opportunity description, market niche, or problem statement
**Research data** — the three research datasets are missing
---
## What Orion Needs to Proceed
Please provide:
1. **Opportunity Name & Description**
- What niche/market/product is this?
- Who is the target customer?
- Why should Crimson Leaf incubate this (vs. extend an existing Tenant or use tools)?
2. **Market Analysis Data** (fills `{biz_data_1}`)
- TAM size, growth rate, key drivers
- Customer pain points and existing solutions
- Any URLs/citations from prior research
3. **Business Model & GTM Research** (fills `{biz_data_2}`)
- Competitor pricing and unit economics
- Go-to-market channels (affiliate, content, paid acquisition, etc.)
- Industry benchmarks (CAC, conversion rates, etc.)
4. **Risk & Failure Research** (fills `{biz_data_3}`)
- Common failure modes in this market
- Regulatory or operational constraints
- Historical case studies (successful or failed ventures)
---
## Next Step
**Please resubmit with:**
- The specific opportunity you want planned
- The three research datasets (or point me to where they live in Gitea/RAG)
Once those arrive, Orion will produce a **complete, cited, investor-ready business plan** with 10+ sources, explicit assumptions, and a clear FUND/PILOT/REJECT recommendation.