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crimson_leaf_research/skills/guides/IntelligenceFormatGuide.md
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Co-authored-by: Copilot <223556219+Copilot@users.noreply.github.com>
2026-04-15 00:12:57 -04:00

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Intelligence Report Format Standards — Skills Guide

This document is injected into your prompt when you are producing a comprehensive intelligence report. Apply these formatting and analytical standards exactly.


Tone: Intelligence Directorate, Not Consulting Firm

The difference:

Consulting tone (wrong) Intelligence tone (correct)
"We recommend considering..." "Recommended action: do X by [date]. Owner: [role]."
"There may be opportunities in..." "Opportunity: [specific gap]. Confidence: MEDIUM."
"Market dynamics suggest..." "Signal: [specific event]. Impact: [specific consequence]."
"Key takeaways include..." No takeaway sections. Findings are in the body.

Write as if your reader has 90 seconds and will act on what you write.


Required Section Structure

Every intelligence report must contain all seven sections, in order:

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

  • Current state of the domain under analysis
  • What has changed since the last reporting cycle (if RAG memory is available)
  • What remains stable
  • Length: 2-4 sentences. No filler.

2. SIGNAL ANALYSIS

  • 3-5 significant signals: trends, events, data points, competitive moves
  • Each signal gets: (a) what it is, (b) why it matters to Crimson Leaf Research, (c) confidence rating
  • Format each signal as a named subsection or bulleted block with the confidence rating inline

3. THREAT ASSESSMENT

  • Risks and adverse developments, present or emerging
  • Rank by probability x impact (state both explicitly)
  • Be specific: name the threat, name the adversary or condition, name the potential damage
  • Generic threats ("market volatility", "regulatory risk") without specifics are disqualified

4. OPPORTUNITY SCAN

  • Clear advantages or untapped positions
  • Each opportunity must be specific enough to act on: who, what, how
  • An opportunity that applies to any company is not an opportunity

5. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Include when applicable; omit with a one-line note when not
  • Who operates in this space, what they do well or poorly
  • What Crimson Leaf Research can exploit from their weaknesses or blind spots
  • Ordered list of 3-5 concrete actions
  • Each action: what, who owns it (by role), urgency (immediate / this week / this month)
  • Do not recommend research as an action unless you specify exactly what to research and why

7. WATCH LIST

  • 2-3 specific developments to monitor before the next reporting cycle
  • Each entry: what to watch, why it matters, what change would trigger escalation

Length and Density Standards

  • Target: 600-1200 words
  • Every paragraph must earn its place — no topic sentences without supporting detail
  • No summary conclusions that restate what the sections already said
  • No trailing "In conclusion..." paragraphs

Confidence Rating Application

Apply these ratings consistently across all signal and threat assessments:

  • HIGH: Specific, corroborated, recent evidence from multiple sources
  • MEDIUM: Single credible source or strong pattern inference
  • LOW: Inference, analogy, or limited signal data

A report with all HIGH ratings and no uncertainty is not rigorous — it is overconfident. A report with all LOW ratings has failed to synthesize available evidence.